Nation of Settlers
On this page
  1. Growth of Islam in the US
  2. Hotspots
  3. Mosque growth and new construction
  4. Demographics of US Muslims
  5. The integration problem
  6. What the future looks like
  7. Path forward

Islam in America

Islam, while still a small minority religion in the United States, has grown significantly in the past 30 years. There are today over 5 million Muslims living in our country and nearly 3,000 mosques.[1][2] Islam is already a threat to American citizens and our country's way of life - the problem will continue to get worse if we don't end mass immigration.

~5.5M
Estimated Muslims in the US in 2026
2,952
Count of mosques and Islamic centers in 2026
59%
Muslim adults who are foreign-born

Growth of Islam in the US

The majority of American history has been Islam-free. The first documented mosque was set up in 1915, 139 years after the country's founding, when Albanian immigrants opened one in Biddeford, Maine. A second followed among Syrian and Lebanese homesteaders in Ross, North Dakota.[3] And for the the next fifty years, Muslim growth was slow, with a handful of mosques being built and a low Muslim population.

The first period of large Muslim growth in the United States was not due to immigration but due to conversions, as the Nation of Islam became popular in the 1960s and 1970s. During the Civil Rights era, many disenfranchised and disillusioned Black men converted to Islam. The Nation of Islam movement - starting in the 1930s - had more than 300,000 members by 1964, according to the Smithsonian; a comparable current membership count has not been established.[4]

Immigration is the primary contributor to the recent growth of Islam in the United States.[5] The Immigration Act of 1965 (Hart-Celler) started this increase slowly, while the Immigration Act of 1990 (increasing annual immigration inflows to ~1 million) has increased the Muslim population significantly.

We can see this rise of Islam in two ways. First, the US Muslim population grew from an estimated 1.5 million in 1990 to 2.8 million in 2010 and to 5.5 million today.[2][6][7] Additionally, the number of mosques in the country has more than doubled in a single generation. There were fewer than 1,000 mosques in 1990, yet 36 years later, there are over 2,900 documented mosques and Islamic centers in the 2026 directory.[1][8]

Growth of Islam in the US

Loading historical chart…

Hotspots

While the majority of US land and towns have few Muslims and mosques, certain metropolitan areas have high populations. New York, Minnesota, and New Jersey have the highest per capita rates of mosques. In absolute numbers, New York, California, and Texas have the largest numbers.

Mosques and Islamic centers per state

Visible location types
Loading map. If it cannot load, location details are available below.
Locations per million residents0–34–67–910–1415+

These areas are Islamic Hotspots, with large congregations of Muslims - these areas demonstrate clearly what the future of Islamic growth in the US looks like if it continues.

Largest Muslim populations by metro area

15 metropolitan areas selected by estimated Muslim population

Metro areas

Mosque growth and new construction

Today, the total count of mosques and Islamic centers in the country is nearly 3,000. This count has skyrocketed in the past few decades, from an estimated 1,000 in the late 1990's. Continued mass immigration from Muslim countries will only grow this number.

Mosques and Islamic centers by year

1990
752
2000
1,209
2010
2,106
2020
2,769
2026
2,952

Additionally, there is a push by Muslim organizations in the country to increase mosque and Islamic center construction. North American Islamic Trust (NAIT) offers limited interest-free loans to help communities complete mosques and Islamic centers. Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) has advocated for mosque applicants in local permit and zoning disputes.[11][12]

Recently Opened (7)
  • Masjid Aqsa-Salam
    Harlem, New York, NY

    Status: Opened (2026-09).

    Source
  • Džemat Syracuse mosque
    East Syracuse, NY

    Status: Opened (2026-09-12).

    Source
  • Ismaili Center Houston
    Houston, TX

    Status: Opened (2025-11-06).

    Approved By: Houston Planning Commission (plat and variances) · January 6, 2022.

    Source
  • Islamic Institute of America (Al-Hasnain Mosque)
    Dearborn Heights, MI (Detroit)

    Status: Opened (2026-06-06).

    Source
  • Islamic Society of the Desert
    Rancho Mirage, CA

    Status: Opened (2026-01).

    Approved By: Rancho Mirage Planning Commission · October 30, 2025.

    Source
  • Islamic Center of Youngsville
    Youngsville, NC

    Status: Opened (2025-12).

    Source
  • Islamic Center of Frankfort
    Frankfort, KY

    Status: Opened (2026-01-30).

    Source
Under Construction (25)
  • NYC Muslim Center
    Hollis, Queens, NY (New York City)

    Status: Under construction.

    Approved By: New York City Department of Buildings.

    Source
  • Bridgeview Mosque Foundation Community Center
    Bridgeview, IL (Chicago)

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Islamic Center of Quad Cities
    Frisco, TX (Dallas)

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Dar Alnoor Islamic Community Center
    Prince William County, VA (Washington DC)

    Status: Under construction.

    Approved By: Prince William County Board of Supervisors.

    Source
  • Pillars Mosque
    Charlotte, NC

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Islamic Association of Cary
    Cary, NC (Raleigh)

    Status: Nearing completion.

    Source
  • Islamic Center of Fredericksburg
    Fredericksburg, VA

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Masjid Khadeejah (South Denver Islamic Center)
    Englewood, CO (Denver)

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Masjid Zakariya (Islamic Center of Fremont)
    Fremont, CA (San Francisco Bay Area)

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Woodland Mosque and Islamic Center
    Woodland, CA (Sacramento)

    Status: Nearing completion.

    Source
  • Masjid Istiqlal
    Sugar Land, TX (Houston)

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Masjid Al-Islam
    South Dallas, TX

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Muslim Community Mosque
    Phoenix, AZ

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Islamic Center of the East Valley
    Chandler, AZ (Phoenix)

    Status: Nearing completion.

    Source
  • Mariam Center (La Porte Islamic Center)
    La Porte, TX (Houston)

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • American Momin Park
    Springfield, MO

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Hedaya School & Islamic Center
    Overland Park, KS (Kansas City)

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Islamic Society of the Northwest Suburbs
    Rolling Meadows, IL (Chicago)

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Islamic Society of New Hampshire
    Manchester, NH

    Status: Nearing completion.

    Source
  • Loganville Islamic Center
    Loganville, GA (Atlanta)

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Jamia Masjid Chicago
    Chicago, IL

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Rawdah Islamic Center
    near Newark, DE

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Islamic Society of Baltimore
    Baltimore, MD

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Zainabiya Center
    Maryland Heights, MO (Greater St. Louis)

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
  • Islamic Foundation of Lincoln
    Lincoln, NE

    Status: Under construction.

    Source
Proposals (49)
  • Osman Ghazi Mosque prayer-hall expansion
    Dayton, OH

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Duvall Mosque
    Duvall, WA (Seattle region)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Vacaville Islamic Center
    Vacaville, CA

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Islamic Center of Midcities expansion
    Downey, CA (Los Angeles)

    Status: Approved.

    Source
  • Al-Hadi Masjid permanent site
    Lakeville, MN (Twin Cities)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Islamic center on Thirteen Mile Road
    Warren, MI (Detroit)

    Status: Application denied.

    Source
  • Buford Islamic Center Hamilton Mill Road proposal
    Mulberry, GA (Atlanta)

    Status: Application withdrawn.

    Source
  • Urbana Muslim Association Center
    Monrovia, MD (Frederick County)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Islamic Center of West Delray Beach
    west of Delray Beach, FL

    Status: Approved.

    Approved By: Palm Beach County zoning staff (mosque); Board of County Commissioners (school and daycare) · September 28, 2023 (school and daycare).

    Construction: Not started as of October 2026.

    SourceAdditional source
  • McKinney Islamic Association expansion
    McKinney, TX (Dallas)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • EPIC City
    near Josephine, TX (Dallas)

    Status: On hold.

    Source
  • Madinah Lakes
    Lino Lakes, MN (Twin Cities)

    Status: On hold.

    Decision By: Lino Lakes City Council · August 15, 2024.

    Source
  • Noor Islamic Center (Britton Parkway)
    Hilliard, OH (Columbus)

    Status: Application denied.

    Decision By: Hilliard City Council · November 2024.

    Source
  • Broken Arrow mosque
    Broken Arrow, OK (Tulsa)

    Status: Application denied.

    Decision By: Broken Arrow City Council · January 12, 2026 · vote 4-1.

    Source
  • Karmel Mall expansion
    Minneapolis, MN

    Status: Proposed.

    Decision By: City of Minneapolis, upheld by the Minnesota Court of Appeals.

    Source
  • Sayreville mosque
    Sayreville, NJ

    Status: Application denied.

    Decision By: Sayreville Planning Board · June 2025.

    Source
  • Marlboro Township mosque
    Marlboro, NJ

    Status: Application denied.

    Decision By: Marlboro Township Zoning Board.

    Source
  • Albuquerque Islamic Center (North Valley)
    Albuquerque, NM

    Status: Approved with conditions.

    Decision By: Bernalillo County Planning Commission.

    Source
  • Lodi Township mosque
    Washtenaw County, MI (Ann Arbor)

    Status: Application denied.

    Decision By: Lodi Township · 2024.

    Source
  • Islamic Center of Kansas
    Overland Park, KS (Kansas City)

    Status: Preliminary approval.

    Approved By: Overland Park Planning Commission.

    Source
  • Muslim Society of Delaware Valley
    Feasterville, PA (Philadelphia)

    Status: Application withdrawn.

    Decision By: Upper Southampton Township (Bucks County) · December 2025.

    Source
  • Stamford East Side Mosque
    Stamford, CT

    Status: Proposed.

    Approved By: Stamford Zoning Board · November 2025.

    Source
  • Islamic Community Center of South Charlotte
    Fort Mill, SC (Charlotte)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Islamic Center of Hamden
    Hamden, CT (New Haven)

    Status: Partially built.

    Source
  • West Ocean City mosque
    West Ocean City, MD

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Islamic Society of the Desert
    Rancho Mirage, CA (Palm Springs)

    Status: Approved.

    Approved By: Rancho Mirage Planning Commission · October 30, 2025.

    Source
  • Islamic Society of Vermont
    South Burlington, VT

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Islamic Society of Delaware
    Middletown, DE

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Maryam Masjid and Islamic Community Center
    Spokane, WA

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Al-Zahra Islamic Center
    Salt Lake City, UT

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Islamic Center of Federal Way
    Federal Way, WA (Seattle)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • IPRAY House
    Wayne, NJ (New York City)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Imam al-Asr Masjid
    Fairfax County, VA (Washington DC)

    Status: Approved.

    Source
  • Bronx Muslim Center
    Van Nest, Bronx, NY (New York City)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Islamic Center of Melville
    Melville, NY (Long Island)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Muslims on Long Island
    Bethpage, NY (Long Island)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Muslim Community of Folsom
    Folsom, CA (Sacramento)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Muslim Association of Puget Sound (VIBE campus)
    Redmond, WA (Seattle)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Nueces Mosque
    Austin, TX

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Lake Nona Masjid
    Osceola County, FL (Orlando)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Islamic Society of Colorado Springs
    Colorado Springs, CO

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Al-Ahad Islamic Center
    South Whitehall Township, PA (Allentown)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Al Huda Islamic Center of Athens
    Athens, GA

    Status: Approved.

    Source
  • New Africa (Islamic Center for Human Excellence)
    Little Rock, AR

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Islamic Society of New River Valley
    Blacksburg, VA

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Islamic Society of Milwaukee (Franklin)
    Franklin, WI (Milwaukee)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • DeSoto Islamic Center (Abraham House of God)
    Horn Lake, MS (Memphis)

    Status: Proposed.

    Source
  • Nur-Ul-Islam
    Cooper City, FL (Fort Lauderdale)

    Status: Proposed.

    Approved By: Broward County.

    Source
  • Islamic Society of Fargo-Moorhead
    Fargo, ND

    Status: Proposed.

    Source

Demographics of US Muslims

The US Muslim population is generally foreign-born (59%), invited into our country due to the 1965 and 1990 Immigration Acts. While some Muslims are black converts who can trace their roots back many generations, most Muslim adults surveyed are foreign-born, with no heritage or tie to the US.The most recent data shows that 20% of Muslims identify as Black, 30% Asian (e.g. Pakistani, Bangladeshi, and Indian), and 30% identify as White (e.g. Arab).

Muslim adults by birthplace

Pew 2023–24 survey · birthplace (%)

59%
41%
Foreign-born
US-born

Race and ethnicity of US Muslim adults

Pew 2023–24 survey

30%
30%
20%
11%
8%
"White"
"Asian"
Black
Hispanic
Other or multiple races

The integration problem

Historically, Muslims have not co-existed with other groups. The religion has been around for ~1,400 years and has tried to create a world caliphate for its entire history. While Muslim countries have not been powerful since the haydays of the Ottoman Empire, we are once again seeing the threat of Islam in the West, this time due to recent mass immigration.

At its core, when you bring in a group of people with fervent religious beliefs (whether they are violent or not upon arrival) into a country that is vastly different, there are going to be integration issues. This would be the same way in reverse - if you imported hundreds of thousands of devout French Catholics into a country like Morocco or Algeria, the native population would clash with the new immigrants. And that is precisely what happened in the early and mid 1900's.

Muslims view Christianity and other religions (e.g. Judaism, Hinduism, Buddhism) as blasphemous. While this idea of blasphemy might not be an issue when Islam represents a small percentage of the total population, it becomes a problem when these numbers are inflated. Muslims, through their religious texts, are told to take control of all land and all people by any means necessary, and violence is a perfectly reasonable method to achieve this. It's the reason why Muslim immigration to the West and assimilation don't go together. The objective for Muslims arriving to the West is to stay true to their faith and grow Islamic expansion - assimilation into a Western, Christian (or secular) society is not their priority. They are Muslim first, then Algerian (or Pakistani, Somalian, etc.) second, and finally English (or French, American, etc.) third.

It's why Muslim political candidates always advocate for more mass immigration, instead of respecting the heritage of their new country (e.g. Protestant Christian in the United States or Catholic in Spain). It's why Muslim communities around the West (whether in Roubaix, France, Blackburn, England, or Dearborn, Michigan) look vastly different than all the non-Muslim towns surrounding them. It's why a Muslim child born in a majority-Muslim city in the West today has more in common with their foreign-born parents and (arguably) a child back in their native country, than they do with a heritage American child born 50 miles away.

What the future looks like

The rise of Islam in the United States ties directly to our issues with mass immigration. If we continue Muslim immigration (especially at a large scale), the problems will continue and only get worse.

There are a few paths that we can go down. Five potential scenarios include:

Our recommendation
  1. Zero Muslim migration. The model starts with Pew's 2026 estimate of 5.5 million and assumes no net migration plus 1.39% annual net natural growth. The resulting 2050 estimate is 7.7 million. This is a population scenario, not a count of future admissions.
  2. An 80% cut in modeled net Muslim inflow. This retains the same natural-growth assumption and adds 10,400 people a year, 20% of the site's earlier 52,000-per-year inflow proxy.[18] It reaches 8.0 million in 2050; the inflow proxy is not an observed admissions count.
  1. The status quo.We can calculate the increases we've seen over the past twenty years and extend this growth to calculate a 2050 total of 9.5 million.
  2. Twice that annual increase. Doubling the same historical average adds about 332,000 people annually and reaches 13.5 million in 2050. These two annual-increase scenarios illustrate total population growth, not immigration forecasts.
  3. Current residents without citizenship or permanent residence depart. Pew found that 21% of Muslim adults were noncitizens in 2023–24, but did not report how many had green cards.[19] This scenario has no plotted population estimate.[18]

Estimated growth in US Muslim population by 2050

Loading historical chart…

Scenario methodology

All five scenarios begin with Pew's 2026 estimate of 5.5 million Muslim residents. Options 1 and 2 apply a retained 1.39% annual net natural-growth assumption; option 2 also adds 10,400 people per year (20% × the site's earlier 52,000-per-year net-inflow proxy). Neither rate is a measured 2026 Muslim migration flow. [2]

Options 3 and 4 extend the change from Pew's 2007 estimate of 2.35 million to its 2026 estimate of 5.5 million: approximately 166,000 people per year, or twice that amount. Those lines describe total population change and are not immigration forecasts. [2][17]

Option 5 is unquantified. Pew's 2023–24 survey found that 21% of Muslim adults were noncitizens, but did not separate green card holders from temporary-status residents. Pew's 2026 estimate of 5.5 million includes children. These figures do not establish the number of Muslim residents without citizenship or permanent residence. [2][19]

The 2050 percentage uses the Census Bureau's 360.639 million US population projection as a common denominator for every line. [20]

Path forward

When it comes to the rise of Islam, the United States is in a good position compared to many Western European nations, Australia, and Canada. A significant reduction to mass immigration (over 80%) and a blacklist of anyone coming from countries supporting terrorism (e.g. Afghanistan, Pakistan, Somalia, Syria, etc) would largely stop this issue.

Muslims have a high birth rate (the 2.5-children-per-woman estimate dates to a 2011 Pew model; the US total fertility rate was 1.60 in 2024)[30][31] but at just 1.6% of the total population today, this still leads to slow increases. The growth of Islam, as discussed earlier, is a story of mass immigration. Without the immigration, the large-scale growth ceases to exist.

In order to stop the growth of Islam and end mass immigration, we must do two things.:

  • Restrict entry by country. Both the Executive Branch and Congress can limit entry; Congress can set country-specific visa rules by repealing the 1990 Immigration Act and changing current statute; the Executive Branch can suspend entry of specified classes of noncitizens by proclamation under 8 U.S.C. § 1182(f).[32]
  • Reduce annual admissions by 80%. Only Congress can reduce immigration by permanently lowering statutory admission limits, including limits amended by the 1990 Immigration Act; the proposed 80% cut needs explicit new caps.[33]

Restricted countries

Proposed entry tiers · source dates below

Tier 1: Zero entry allowed.

Tier 2: Tourism only; no immigrant visas.

Proposed tierTier 1Tier 2

Sources

  1. Nation of Settlers database
    Source notes

    The Nation of Settlers team conducted a nationwide inventory over three months, cataloging and verifying all mosques and Islamic centers in the United States. The total count in October 2026 was 2,952.

  2. Pew Research Center, 25 Years After 9/11: A Portrait of Muslim Americans (2026)
    Source notes

    Pew estimates about 5.5 million Muslims of all ages in the United States in 2026, using its 2023–24 Religious Landscape Study, Census Current Population Survey data, and earlier Muslim population surveys. It is an estimate, not a religious census.

  3. The Pluralism Project, Harvard University, “Early American Mosques”, first documented mosques (Biddeford, Maine, 1915; Ross, North Dakota; Cedar Rapids, Iowa, 1934)
  4. Smithsonian National Museum of African American History and Culture, Religion and Black Power
    Source notes

    The museum says the Nation of Islam grew to more than 300,000 members by 1964. This is a historical estimate, not a measured 2026 membership total.

  5. Pew Research Center, “New estimates show US Muslim population continues to grow” (2018), 3.45 million Muslims; growth driven by immigration
  6. Pew Research Center, Table: Muslim Population by Country (2011)
    Source notes

    Retrospective estimate for the United States in 1990: 1.529 million. This older historical estimate was not recalculated on the same basis as Pew’s newer 2010 and 2026 estimates.

  7. Pew Research Center, Religious Composition by Country, 2010–2020 (2025 release)
    Source notes

    Revised all-ages US Muslim estimates: about 2.77 million in 2010 and 4.05 million in 2020.

  8. Ihsan Bagby, “The American Mosque 2020,” Report 1 (Hartford Institute for Religion Research / ISPU), mosque counts by state, national totals, participant ethnicity
    Source notes

    The chart's pre-1915 zero is a documented-mosque floor, not an observed national total. The reconstructed 1970/1980/1990 values derive from founding dates; 1994/2000/2010/2020 are national survey counts. The 2026 chart value extrapolates the 2000–2020 average: 2,769 + 6 × ((2,769 − 1,209) ÷ 20) = 3,237. It is not a measured count.

    The map uses the 2020 national mosque benchmark and Census populations. Enumeration took place in 2019; interviews described pre-pandemic conditions. This is not a 2026 count. The survey includes congregations with regular prayer and other activities, with provisions for some Shia institutions. It excludes prayer-only facilities and several movements, including Nation of Islam, Moorish Science Temple, Ismaili and Ahmadiyya organizations.

    An institution called an Islamic center may meet the mosque definition; the name alone does not establish a separate category. The survey reports 2,769, while an independent 2020 table reports 2,771. That discrepancy remains unresolved; this map consistently uses the national survey’s state table.

  9. US Census Bureau: Vintage 2025 state resident population estimates
    Source notes

    Denominator: July 1, 2025 resident population, NST-EST2025-ALLDATA, POPESTIMATE2025; released January 2026. Per million = eligible mapped locations in the state divided by all state residents, multiplied by 1,000,000. This is not the percentage of residents who are Muslim. The location snapshot and population observation year are labeled separately.

  10. 2020 US Religion Census: metropolitan Muslim adherent estimates
    Source notes

    The map selects 15 metropolitan areas by estimated Muslim population. Its percentages refer to entire metropolitan areas, not individual cities or neighborhoods.

  11. North American Islamic Trust, Islamic Centers Cooperative Fund
    Source notes

    NAIT says the fund extends limited interest-free loans to help communities complete Islamic centers, mosques, and schools.

  12. CAIR-SFBA, Los Gatos mosque permit appeal (2026)
    Source notes

    CAIR-SFBA reports submitting a letter supporting a mosque's appeal of local permit conditions. This documents advocacy, not construction funding.

  13. Pew Research Center, How US Muslims compare with other Americans (2025): 2023–24 Religious Landscape Study
    Source notes

    59% of Muslim adults were foreign-born; the survey was conducted in English and Spanish. This is the foreign-born share of resident adults, not an immigration flow. The reported race/ethnicity shares are rounded: White 30%, Asian 30%, Black 20%, Hispanic 11%, and other or multiple races 8%; they do not measure Arab ancestry. The 2017 country-of-birth breakdown is older and is not reweighted to this newer estimate.

  14. Pew Research Center, 2017 survey of US Muslims, demographic portrait and country-of-birth table (p. 183)
    Source notes

    Pew found that 82% of Muslim adults surveyed in 2017 were US citizens: 42% born in the US and 40% naturalized; 18% were noncitizens. The survey also reports country-of-birth shares. These historical adult figures cannot be applied to the 2026 all-ages population estimate, and noncitizens are not necessarily temporary-visa holders.

  15. Espinosa, Morales and Galvan, Latino Muslims in the United States (2017)
    Source notes

    The 2014 online opt-in survey of 560 Latino Muslims found 31% reported Mexican ancestry, 22% Puerto Rican ancestry, and 62% were US-born. It was not a representative sample and cannot establish the origins of Pew's 2023–24 Hispanic Muslim respondents.

  16. SDSU: Estimating the Muslim Population in the United States Using Census 2000 Data
    Source notes

    Table 2 estimates 3,403,016 people in 2000 through a Census-based model. The author considers it an upper bound. It is not a Pew estimate and is intentionally unconnected to Pew’s 2007–2026 series.

  17. Pew Research Center, Muslim Americans: Middle Class and Mostly Mainstream (2007)
    Source notes

    Pew estimated 2.35 million Muslims of all ages in 2007. The page's 2007–2026 annual-change scenario uses this estimate and Pew's 2026 estimate; it is an illustration, not a forecast.

  18. Nation of Settlers scenario calculations
    Source notes

    The numbered link leads to the calculation and its assumptions above.

  19. Pew Research Center, 2023–24 Religious Landscape Study: Citizenship and civic engagement
    Source notes

    The citizenship table on page 312 reports that 78% of US Muslim adults were citizens, 21% were noncitizens, and fewer than 1% did not answer. It does not classify noncitizens by immigration status and does not cover children.

  20. US Census Bureau, 2023 National Population Projections, Table 1
    Source notes

    Main-series US population projections: 345.074 million in 2030, 355.309 million in 2040, and 360.639 million in 2050. These are national denominators for the scenario shares, not projections of Muslims; the same denominator is used for each policy scenario without reprojecting the US total under that policy.

  21. US Census Bureau, Population Clock, October 13, 2026
    Source notes

    The US population was approximately 342.9 million when the chart was calculated. The 2026 Muslim baseline of 5.5 million implies a share of about 1.6%.

  22. US Department of State: state-sponsor designations (archived baseline)
    Source notes

    The archived baseline lists Cuba, Iran, North Korea and Syria. Syria is excluded from Tier 1 following the August 24, 2026 rescission. These are US designations, not a joint Western classification.

  23. Federal Register: rescission of Syria’s designation, effective August 24, 2026
  24. Presidential Proclamation 10949, June 4, 2025: country-specific screening findings
    Source notes

    Findings are attributed to the administration and retain their source date; they are not independent verification of conditions today.

  25. Presidential Proclamation 10998, December 16, 2025: country screening findings
    Source notes

    Section 4(g) identifies passport/civil-document and screening deficiencies in Syria. A screening finding is distinct from a state-sponsor designation. Coverage is limited to the stated source rules, not every country with terrorist activity. The June 2025 request to review Egypt is not itself a finding of deficiencies.

  26. US Department of State: Algeria travel advisory, August 25, 2026
    Source notes

    The four advisory examples are selected, not an exhaustive list of countries with a terrorism risk indicator. A travel advisory addresses risk to travelers; it is not a measure of attack frequency, a state-sponsor designation, or an immigration-screening finding.

  27. US Department of State: Tunisia travel advisory, May 21, 2026
  28. US Department of State: Egypt travel advisory, July 15, 2025
  29. US Department of State: Morocco travel advisory, September 4, 2026
  30. Pew Research Center, The Future of the Global Muslim Population (2011): Americas
    Source notes

    The 2.5 children-per-woman figure is a modeled historical US Muslim fertility estimate, combining estimates of 2.6 for immigrants and 2.2 for US-born Muslims. It is not an observed 2026 fertility rate.

  31. CDC National Center for Health Statistics, Births: Final Data for 2024 (2026)
    Source notes

    The final 2024 US total fertility rate was 1,599.5 births per 1,000 women, or approximately 1.60 children per woman. The 2.1 figure is an approximate replacement level, not the current US average.

  32. US Code, 8 U.S.C. § 1182(f): presidential authority to suspend or restrict entry by proclamation
  33. US Code, 8 U.S.C. § 1151: statutory worldwide immigration levels and limits
  34. Ihsan Bagby, “The American Mosque 2011”, national mosque counts, founding-date distribution, and ethnicity of regular mosque participants
  35. US Census Bureau, 2020 Census, state resident populations (per-capita denominators)
  36. Pew Research Center, “Demographic portrait of Muslim Americans” (2017), population, foreign-born share, race
  37. US Census Bureau, Censuses of Religious Bodies, 1906, 1916, 1926 and 1936 (ICPSR 8), more than 200 denominations and 220,000 congregations enumerated; Muslims appear as a category in none of the four
  38. Association of Religion Data Archives (ARDA) / NSRI–ARIS, Muslims 0.3% of US adults (1990); religion is not counted on the US Census
  39. Joseph R. Stuart (Brigham Young University), “The Nation of Islam: A brief history,” The Conversation (2023), current Nation of Islam membership of approximately 35,000
  40. Dictionary of American History; Encyclopedia of African-American Culture and History; International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences; Encyclopedia of Religion (collected at Encyclopedia.com), Nation of Islam membership estimates: ~5,000 (1950s), ~20,000 (early 1960s), 500,000 at peak following, 30,000–70,000 today
  41. Office for National Statistics, “Religion, England and Wales: Census 2021”, 3.9 million Muslims (6.5%), up from 2.7 million (4.9%) in 2011; London 15.0%, up from 12.6%
  42. Pew Research Center, “Europe’s Growing Muslim Population” (2017), France 5.7 million Muslims, 8.8% of the population (2016 estimate)
    Source notes

    The report's country table gives France's estimated Muslim share as 7.5% in 2010 and 8.8% in 2016. The scenario chart applies that 1.3-percentage-point change over six years to the US share from 2026. This is a short-period population-share analogy, not France's immigration rate or a US forecast.

  43. Encyclopaedia Britannica, “dhimmah”, protected non-Muslim status under Islamic rule, granted in exchange for the jizya
  44. Encyclopaedia Britannica, “jizyah”, the poll tax levied on non-Muslim men under classical Islamic law
  45. Katz Center for Advanced Judaic Studies, University of Pennsylvania, “Dhimmi: Jewish Legal Status under Muslim Rule”, the legal restrictions attached to dhimmi status and scholarly disagreement over their enforcement
  46. US Commission on International Religious Freedom, “Blasphemy Legislation Factsheet” (2023 update), countries criminalising blasphemy and those imposing the death penalty
  47. Pew Research Center, “Demographic portrait of Muslim Americans” (2017), 82% of Muslim adults are US citizens; 70% of foreign-born Muslim adults are naturalised, 87% excluding recent arrivals, against 51% and 55% for US immigrants overall; estimated fertility of 2.5 children per woman
  48. Pew Research Center, “The Future of World Religions” (2015), demographic projection placing the US Muslim population at 8.1 million, or 2.1%, in 2050
    Source notes

    Pew's 2015 model used a 2010 baseline and projected continued migration alongside age structure, fertility, mortality and religious switching. Its 8.1-million 2050 endpoint predates Pew's 2026 US Muslim estimate of 5.5 million. The historical projection is not plotted as a current scenario.

  49. New America, “Terrorism in America After 9/11,” definitions and analysis
  50. New America, deadly-attack dataset, version 29 (CSV); source snapshot October 5, 2026
    Source notes

    New America’s downloadable deadly-attack table, version 29, contains 16 records classified as “Jihadist,” totaling 122 victim deaths. The latest included incident is March 12, 2026. We retain the source’s classifications, which are research categories rather than a claim that every case produced a terrorism conviction. Its category excludes Hamas and Hezbollah. This is a dated source snapshot, not a complete live incident feed.

    Metro groupings combine nearby municipalities: Boston includes Cambridge; Seattle includes Skyway; New York–Newark includes West Orange; Riverside–San Bernardino is separate from Los Angeles; Fort Hood is assigned to Killeen–Temple. The 2014 multi-state record is split into three Washington victims and one New Jersey victim, without double counting. The Boston record includes the subsequent killing of an MIT police officer. Pins use approximate principal-city coordinates. Ranking is by deaths, not attack frequency or population-adjusted risk.

  51. Essex County Prosecutor, Ali Muhammad Brown guilty plea (2018); Washington–New Jersey allocation of the 2014 killings
  52. FBI, Pensacola shooting investigation (2020); attack date December 6, 2019
  53. RSPCA, “End non-stun slaughter for farm animals”; pre-stunning, halal practices and consumer labelling
  54. US Department of State, PP 10998 visa suspensions; updated February 2, 2026
    Source notes

    Scope: the January 1, 2026 proclamation, not all subsequent visa policies. Exceptions include lawful permanent residents and qualifying dual nationals. The proclamation applies to people outside the United States without a valid visa on its effective date; it does not revoke previously issued visas. Palestinian Authority travel documents are covered separately from country nationality.

  55. Presidential Proclamation 10998, December 16, 2025: country categories, scope and exceptions
    Source notes

    The map uses the proclamation’s full-suspension countries in proposed Tier 1 and includes additional author-proposed countries. Its tiers are not official US classifications or a classification of residents by religion.

  56. USAGov: naturalization eligibility and application process
  57. Department of Justice: immigration court and removal proceedings
  58. Library of Congress: Muslims in the United States at the founding
    Source notes

    Hundreds or thousands is a historical range, not an enumerated count. The chart's early population values are site scenarios.

  59. Michael A. Gomez, Muslims in Early America
    Source notes

    Thousands or tens of thousands refers to arrivals over the early period, not people alive in any one year.

  60. Pluralism Project: Early American Mosques
    Source notes

    Early founding dates do not establish the number of mosques still active in a given year.

  61. National Park Service: Enslaved Muslims
    Source notes

    The number at any historical date cannot be determined from surviving records.

  62. USCIS, How Do I Extend My Nonimmigrant Stay in the United States?
    Source notes

    Temporary admission and authorized stay are governed by immigration status and the I-94, not simply the visa stamp's expiration. Eligible nonimmigrants may apply to extend or change status. This source does not count Muslim temporary-status residents; the chart's departure input is hypothetical.

Metro and local population sources

2020 US Religion Census — metro estimates

Counts and percentages cover whole metropolitan areas. Detroit–Warren–Dearborn includes Dearborn; its metro percentage is not a Dearborn city estimate. Population-share sorting reorders these eleven metros, selected by total estimated adherents; it is not a nationwide ranking by share.

City and neighborhood religious percentages require separate evidence. Ancestry, birthplace and a Muslim-majority city council do not measure residents’ religious affiliation. No comparable top-three city ranking has been established for these metros.

Hamtramck — The Guardian, November 15, 2015: reported estimate of up to 60% Muslim. This is a dated local estimate, not a 2020 census measurement.

Map photography and credits
Mosque construction projects
  1. Masjid Aqsa-Salam - Harlem, New York, NY
  2. Džemat Syracuse mosque - East Syracuse, NY
  3. Islamic Association of Greater Detroit - Rochester Hills, MI (Detroit)
  4. Ismaili Center Houston - Houston, TX · Official council minutes
  5. Islamic Institute of America (Al-Hasnain Mosque) - Dearborn Heights, MI (Detroit)
  6. Bronx Muslim Center - Van Nest, Bronx, NY (New York City)
  7. NYC Muslim Center - Hollis, Queens, NY (New York City) · Official council minutes
  8. Islamic Center of Melville - Melville, NY (Long Island)
  9. Muslims on Long Island - Bethpage, NY (Long Island)
  10. Islamic Center of Naperville - Naperville, IL (Chicago)
  11. Bridgeview Mosque Foundation Community Center - Bridgeview, IL (Chicago)
  12. Islamic Center of Quad Cities - Frisco, TX (Dallas)
  13. Dar Alnoor Islamic Community Center - Prince William County, VA (Washington DC)
  14. Muslim Community of Folsom - Folsom, CA (Sacramento)
  15. Muslim Association of Puget Sound (VIBE campus) - Redmond, WA (Seattle)
  16. Nueces Mosque - Austin, TX
  17. Pillars Mosque - Charlotte, NC
  18. Islamic Association of Cary - Cary, NC (Raleigh)
  19. Islamic Center of Orlando (Jama Masjid) - Orlando, FL
  20. Islamic Society of the Desert - Rancho Mirage, CA
  21. Islamic Center of Youngsville - Youngsville, NC
  22. Lake Nona Masjid - Osceola County, FL (Orlando)
  23. Islamic Center of Fredericksburg - Fredericksburg, VA
  24. Adam Community Center - Troy, MI (Detroit)
  25. Islamic Society of Colorado Springs - Colorado Springs, CO
  26. Masjid Khadeejah (South Denver Islamic Center) - Englewood, CO (Denver)
  27. Masjid Zakariya (Islamic Center of Fremont) - Fremont, CA (San Francisco Bay Area)
  28. Woodland Mosque and Islamic Center - Woodland, CA (Sacramento)
  29. Masjid Istiqlal - Sugar Land, TX (Houston)
  30. IslamInSpanish Centro Islamico - Houston, TX
  31. Masjid Al-Islam - South Dallas, TX
  32. Muslim Community Mosque - Phoenix, AZ
  33. Islamic Center of the East Valley - Chandler, AZ (Phoenix)
  34. Mariam Center (La Porte Islamic Center) - La Porte, TX (Houston)
  35. American Momin Park - Springfield, MO
  36. Hedaya School & Islamic Center - Overland Park, KS (Kansas City)
  37. Islamic Society of the Northwest Suburbs - Rolling Meadows, IL (Chicago)
  38. Noor Islamic Cultural Center (Dublin campus) - Dublin, OH (Columbus)
  39. Al-Ahad Islamic Center - South Whitehall Township, PA (Allentown)
  40. Islamic Society of New Hampshire - Manchester, NH
  41. Reading's first mosque - Reading, MA (Boston)
  42. MAS Salaam Center - Braintree, MA (Boston)
  43. Islamic Center of Frankfort - Frankfort, KY
  44. Al Huda Islamic Center of Athens - Athens, GA
  45. Loganville Islamic Center - Loganville, GA (Atlanta)
  46. New Africa (Islamic Center for Human Excellence) - Little Rock, AR
  47. Islamic Society of New River Valley - Blacksburg, VA
  48. Masjid Bilal - Los Angeles, CA
  49. Islamic Society of Milwaukee (Franklin) - Franklin, WI (Milwaukee)
  50. Jamia Masjid Chicago - Chicago, IL
  51. Rawdah Islamic Center - near Newark, DE
  52. Islamic Society of Baltimore - Baltimore, MD
  53. DeSoto Islamic Center (Abraham House of God) - Horn Lake, MS (Memphis)
  54. Abu Huraira Islamic Center - Canton, MI (Detroit)
  55. Nur-Ul-Islam - Cooper City, FL (Fort Lauderdale)
  56. Zainabiya Center - Maryland Heights, MO (Greater St. Louis)
  57. Islamic Foundation of Lincoln - Lincoln, NE
  58. Islamic Society of Fargo-Moorhead - Fargo, ND
  59. Osman Ghazi Mosque prayer-hall expansion - Dayton, OH
  60. Duvall Mosque - Duvall, WA (Seattle region)
  61. Vacaville Islamic Center - Vacaville, CA
  62. Islamic Center of Midcities expansion - Downey, CA (Los Angeles)
  63. Al-Hadi Masjid permanent site - Lakeville, MN (Twin Cities)
  64. Islamic center on Thirteen Mile Road - Warren, MI (Detroit)
  65. Buford Islamic Center Hamilton Mill Road proposal - Mulberry, GA (Atlanta)
  66. Urbana Muslim Association Center - Monrovia, MD (Frederick County)
  67. Islamic Center of West Delray Beach - west of Delray Beach, FL · Official council minutes
  68. McKinney Islamic Association expansion - McKinney, TX (Dallas)
  69. EPIC City - near Josephine, TX (Dallas)
  70. Madinah Lakes - Lino Lakes, MN (Twin Cities)
  71. Noor Islamic Center (Britton Parkway) - Hilliard, OH (Columbus)
  72. Broken Arrow mosque - Broken Arrow, OK (Tulsa) · Official council minutes
  73. Karmel Mall expansion - Minneapolis, MN
  74. Sayreville mosque - Sayreville, NJ
  75. Marlboro Township mosque - Marlboro, NJ
  76. Albuquerque Islamic Center (North Valley) - Albuquerque, NM
  77. Lodi Township mosque - Washtenaw County, MI (Ann Arbor)
  78. Islamic Center of Kansas - Overland Park, KS (Kansas City)
  79. Muslim Society of Delaware Valley - Feasterville, PA (Philadelphia)
  80. Stamford East Side Mosque - Stamford, CT
  81. Islamic Community Center of South Charlotte - Fort Mill, SC (Charlotte)
  82. Islamic Center of Hamden - Hamden, CT (New Haven)
  83. West Ocean City mosque - West Ocean City, MD
  84. Islamic Society of the Desert - Rancho Mirage, CA (Palm Springs)
  85. Islamic Society of Vermont - South Burlington, VT
  86. Islamic Society of Delaware - Middletown, DE
  87. Maryam Masjid and Islamic Community Center - Spokane, WA
  88. Al-Zahra Islamic Center - Salt Lake City, UT
  89. Islamic Center of Federal Way - Federal Way, WA (Seattle)
  90. IPRAY House - Wayne, NJ (New York City)
  91. Imam al-Asr Masjid - Fairfax County, VA (Washington DC)